Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 23

Jan 27, 2024 at 3pm UK

Tynecastle Park

Hearts
2 - 0
Aberdeen

Grant (57' pen.), Shankland (77')
Oda (68')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Shinnie (31'), Lopes (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Hearts 3-2 Dundee
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Aberdeen

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: St Johnstone 1-1 Aberdeen
Wednesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 28.87% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
Hearts	Draw	Aberdeen
47.08% ( -0.01)	24.05% ( 0)	28.87% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 58.18% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.15% (

-0.01)

43.84% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.76% (

-0.01)

66.23% (

0.01)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.22% (

-0.01)

18.77% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.82% (

-0.01)

50.18% (

0.01)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.63% (

28.37% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.89% (

64.11% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Hearts 47.08%

Aberdeen 28.87%

Draw 24.04%

Hearts	Draw	Aberdeen
2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.91% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.45% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.15% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 3.35% Total : 47.08%	1-1 @ 11.22% 2-2 @ 5.91% 0-0 @ 5.33% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.04%	1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.71% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.23% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.97% 2-3 @ 2.48% 0-3 @ 1.78% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.7% Total : 28.87%