MX23RW : Tuesday, April 30 22:17:48| >> :300:86500:86500:
Aberdeen logo
Celtic logo
Dundee logo
Hearts logo
Hibs logo
Kilmarnock logo
Livingston logo
Motherwell logo
Rangers logo
Ross County
St Johnstone logo
St Mirren logo
Hearts logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 23
Jan 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Aberdeen logo

Hearts
2 - 0
Aberdeen

Grant (57' pen.), Shankland (77')
Oda (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Shinnie (31'), Lopes (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hearts 3-2 Dundee
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Johnstone 1-1 Aberdeen
Wednesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hearts 2-1 Aberdeen

Naismith will see the upcoming games as a perfect opportunity to extend their gap over fourth even further, with no meetings against the Old Firm for another month. Aberdeen have shown promising signs themselves of late, but they may find it difficult against the most in-form team in the Scottish Premiership here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 28.87% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawAberdeen
47.08% (-0.012 -0.01) 24.05% (0.0030000000000001 0) 28.87% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 58.18% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.15% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)43.84% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.76% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)66.23% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.22% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)18.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.82% (-0.012 -0.01)50.18% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.63% (0.00099999999999056 0)28.37% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.89% (0.0010000000000048 0)64.11% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 47.08%
    Aberdeen 28.87%
    Draw 24.04%
HeartsDrawAberdeen
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.91% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.45% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 4.15% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 47.08%
1-1 @ 11.22%
2-2 @ 5.91%
0-0 @ 5.33% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.04%
1-2 @ 7.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 6.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.23% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 2.97%
2-3 @ 2.48%
0-3 @ 1.78%
1-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 28.87%

How you voted: Hearts vs Aberdeen

Hearts
86.2%
Draw
6.9%
Aberdeen
6.9%
29
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Aberdeen
2-1
Hearts
Miovski (53'), Clarkson (90+2')
Gartenmann (59'), Miovski (65'), McGrath (78')
Shankland (20')
Nieuwenhof (33'), Lowry (41'), Baningime (64'), Kent (65'), Rowles (73'), Denholm (88'), Shankland (90+5')
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Hearts
2-0
Aberdeen
Oda (14'), Boyce (64')
Haring (11'), Kent (30'), Boyce (32'), Atkinson (56')

Clarkson (25'), Rubezic (61')
May 20, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 36
Hearts
2-1
Aberdeen
Ginnelly (43'), Shankland (56')
Devlin (25')
Pollock (31')
Hayes (11'), Robson (12'), Watkins (25'), Miovski (49'), Ramadani (53')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
Aberdeen
3-0
Hearts
Lopes (5', 21'), Pollock (28')
Jan 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Hearts
5-0
Aberdeen
Shinnie (15' og.), Smith (28'), Shankland (40' pen.), Ginnelly (45+1'), Devlin (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Result
Swiatek
Haddad Maia
4 6 6
6 0 2
Result
Keys
Jabeur
0 7 6
6 5 1
Result
Medvedev
Bublik
77 6
63 4
Result
Rublev
Griekspoor
6 6
2 4
Result
Hurkacz
Fritz
62 4
77 6
Result
Cerundolo
Zverev
6 6
3 4
Result
Sinner
Khachanov
5 6 6
7 3 3
Result
Struff
Alcaraz
3 77 64
6 65 77
Result
Auger-Aliassime
Ruud
6 7
4 5
8.30pm
Nadal
Lehecka
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic110082275581
2RangersRangers110074245078
3Hearts101046341263
4Kilmarnock10104334952
5St Mirren10013945-643
6Dundee10014556-1141
Relegation Group
1Hibernian11004752-542
2Aberdeen11003649-1338
3Motherwell10014652-637
4St Johnstone10012549-2431
5Ross County10013258-2630
6Livingston11002459-3521
 
First Phase
1Celtic33246380265478
2RangersRangers33243672234975
3Hearts33195946341262
4Kilmarnock33131284334951
5St Mirren33127143843-543
6Dundee331011124454-1041
7Hibernian33912124451-739
8Motherwell33813124651-537
9Aberdeen33811143549-1435
10St Johnstone33710162446-2231
11Ross County3379173256-2430
12Livingston3339212259-3718


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!