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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 27
Feb 25, 2024 at 12pm UK
Fir Park
Celtic logo

Motherwell
1 - 3
Celtic

Spittal (43')
Butcher (79')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Idah (51', 90+4'), Palma (90+6')
Taylor (55'), Palma (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Celtic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celtic 1-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 68.38%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 13.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.17%), while for a Motherwell win it was 2-1 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Celtic in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Celtic.

Result
MotherwellDrawCeltic
13.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)17.8% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)68.38% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 56.24% (0.116 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.74% (0.15300000000001 0.15)35.26% (-0.152 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.72% (0.169 0.17)57.28% (-0.16699999999999 -0.17)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.07% (0.094000000000001 0.09)37.93% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.3% (0.091000000000001 0.09)74.7% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.6% (0.051000000000002 0.05)9.4% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.38% (0.119 0.12)31.62% (-0.116 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 13.82%
    Celtic 68.38%
    Draw 17.8%
MotherwellDrawCeltic
2-1 @ 3.96% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-0 @ 3.46% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-0 @ 1.68% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.51% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 13.82%
1-1 @ 8.17% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.68% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.56% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 17.8%
0-2 @ 9.97% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.66% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.43% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
0-3 @ 7.86% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 7.62% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 4.64% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 4.5% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.69% (0.015 0.02)
0-5 @ 2.2% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.18% (0.013 0.01)
1-5 @ 2.13% (0.012 0.01)
2-5 @ 1.03% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 4.48%
Total : 68.38%

How you voted: Motherwell vs Celtic

Motherwell
8.6%
Draw
8.6%
Celtic
82.9%
35
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Celtic
1-1
Motherwell
Turnbull (86' pen.)
Taylor (70')
Obika (90')
Slattery (14'), O'Donnell (41'), Mugabi (64'), Butcher (85')
Sep 30, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 7
Motherwell
1-2
Celtic
Spittal (90+5')
Slattery (10'), O'Donnell (54'), Spencer (90')
Palma (87'), O'Riley (90+7')
Phillips (84')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 33
Celtic
1-1
Motherwell
Van Veen (55')
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Motherwell
1-2
Celtic
Tierney (86')
Furuhashi (15'), Maeda (84')
Oct 19, 2022 6.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Motherwell
0-4
Celtic
Abada (44', 56'), Hatate (61'), Furuhashi (76')