Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 29

Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK

The Smisa Stadium

St Mirren
2 - 1
Aberdeen

O'Hara (90+6' pen.), Olusanya (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Barron (1')
Miovski (45'), McGarry (71'), Shinnie (87'), Devlin (90+4'), MacDonald (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Ross County 1-1 St Mirren
Tuesday, February 27 at 8pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Aberdeen

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Aberdeen 0-2 St Johnstone
Wednesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.

Result
St Mirren	Draw	Aberdeen
42.48% ( 0.03)	26.63% ( -0.03)	30.88% ( -0)

Both teams to score 50.88% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.13% (

0.1)

53.87% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.67% (

0.08)

75.33% (

-0.08)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.9% (

0.06)

25.1% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.2% (

0.08)

59.79% (

-0.08)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.94% (

0.05)

32.06% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.47% (

0.06)

68.53% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

St Mirren 42.48%

Aberdeen 30.88%

Draw 26.63%

St Mirren	Draw	Aberdeen
1-0 @ 11.12% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.69% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.54% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 42.48%	1-1 @ 12.65% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.05% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.63%	0-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 30.88%