Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 30

Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK

Rugby Park

Kilmarnock
5 - 2
St Mirren

Vassell (61', 73'), Armstrong (65' pen.), Watkins (68'), Watson (79')
Donnelly (63'), Kennedy (75'), Watson (86')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Dunne (20'), Mandron (39')
O'Hara (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and St Mirren, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Aberdeen 3-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, March 9 at 12.15pm in Scottish Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

St Mirren

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: St Mirren 2-1 Aberdeen
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	St Mirren
46.9% ( 0.05)	25.85% ( -0)	27.25% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 51.17% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.5% (

-0.03)

52.5% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.83% (

-0.03)

74.17% (

0.03)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.62% (

0.01)

22.37% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.12% (

0.02)

55.87% (

-0.02)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.92% (

-0.06)

34.07% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.24% (

-0.07)

70.76% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 46.89%

St Mirren 27.25%

Draw 25.84%

Kilmarnock	Draw	St Mirren
1-0 @ 11.41% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.59% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.17% Total : 46.89%	1-1 @ 12.28% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.84%	0-1 @ 8.21% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 27.25%