Scottish Cup
Mar 9, 2024 12.15pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Pittodrie Stadium
  • Jamie McGrath 11' goal
  • Graeme Shinnie 33' goal
  • Jack MacKenzie 46' yellowcard
  • Stuart Findlay 66' goal
  • Jamie McGrath 70' yellowcard
  • Graeme Shinnie 90' yellowcard
  • goal Danny Armstrong 41'
  • yellowcard Danny Armstrong 62'
  • yellowcard Joe Wright 62'

Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberdeen

All competitions

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 49.56%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.

Result

Aberdeen 49.56% (+0.02)
Draw 24.3% (-0.01)
Kilmarnock 26.14% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.12% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.12% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 46.88% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 30.87% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 69.14% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 15.27% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 84.73% (-0.02)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5 81.04% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 18.97% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 49.5% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 50.5% (-0.02)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 68.02% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 31.98% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 31.57% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 68.44% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Aberdeen 49.56%
Draw 24.3%
Kilmarnock 26.14%
Aberdeen
1-0 @ 10.08%
2-1 @ 9.56% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.38% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.3% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.65% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.02% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.2% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.93% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.26% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 49.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.49%
0-0 @ 6.07% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.45% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.3%
Kilmarnock
0-1 @ 6.92% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.55% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.94% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.49% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.07% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 26.14%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 27
Feb 24, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Rugby Park
  • Corrie Ndaba 45'+5' goal
  • Matty Kennedy 58' goal
  • Danny Armstrong 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Neil Warnock 0'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 16
Dec 6, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Pittodrie Stadium
  • Graeme Shinnie 45' yellowcard
  • Jonny Hayes 65' yellowcard
  • Stefan Gartenmann 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rory McKenzie 86'
  • goal David Watson 90'+2'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 10
Oct 29, 2023 12.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Rugby Park
  • Kyle Vassell 45'+5' goal
  • Marley Watkins 64' goal
  • Bradley Lyons 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stefan Gartenmann 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Graeme Shinnie 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Ester Sokler 89'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 31
Apr 8, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Luis Lopes 1' goal
  • Luis Lopes 59' goal
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 19
Dec 28, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Scott Robinson 31' goal
  • Joe Wright 42' goal
  • goal Matty Kennedy 90'+1'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2022 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 1
FT
  • Vicente Besuijen 22' goal
  • Bojan Miovski 24' goal
  • Bojan Miovski 45' goal
  • Anthony Stewart 63' goal
  • goal Ash Taylor 27'