Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.35%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.