Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 54.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 22.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.