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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 30
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Easter Road Stadium
Livingston logo

Hibernian
3 - 0
Livingston

Obita (5'), Maolida (7'), Le Fondre (22')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Yengi (24'), Carson (42'), Montano (46'), Kelly (72'), Holt (90'), Brandon (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hibernian and Livingston, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 54.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 22.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.

Result
HibernianDrawLivingston
54.38% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)23.09% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)22.53% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Both teams to score 55.08% (0.186 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.96% (0.198 0.2)45.04% (-0.198 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.61% (0.189 0.19)67.39% (-0.18899999999999 -0.19)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.53% (0.050000000000011 0.05)16.47% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.82% (0.089999999999996 0.09)46.18% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.95% (0.18499999999999 0.18)34.05% (-0.185 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.26% (0.198 0.2)70.74% (-0.19800000000001 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Hibernian 54.37%
    Livingston 22.53%
    Draw 23.09%
HibernianDrawLivingston
1-0 @ 10.11% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.83%
2-0 @ 9.12% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.91% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.48% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.18% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.66% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.47% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.96% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 54.37%
1-1 @ 10.89% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.61% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.09%
0-1 @ 6.04% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.87% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.26% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.11% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.17% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 22.53%

How you voted: Hibernian vs Livingston

Hibernian
79.2%
Draw
8.3%
Livingston
12.5%
24
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Livingston
0-1
Hibernian

Brandon (36'), Devlin (45+3'), Obileye (52')
Boyle (28')
Levitt (63')
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 3
Hibernian
2-3
Livingston
Boyle (61'), Campbell (86')
Newell (6'), Doidge (15')
Obita (8' og.), Anderson (63'), Sangare (75')
Guthrie (34'), Brandon (40'), Sangare (77'), George (79')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 28
Livingston
1-4
Hibernian
Nouble (9')
Youan (28', 37'), Omeonga (61' og.), Kukharevych (90+7')
Dec 24, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 18
Hibernian
4-0
Livingston
Nisbet (33'), Cadden (35'), Magennis (40', 50')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Livingston
2-1
Hibernian
Nouble (6'), Obileye (86')
Montano (52')
Kenneh (51')
Boyle (52'), Cabraja (80')