Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 49.47%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.