Scottish Cup
Feb 11, 2024 5.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 3
FT Garscube Sports Complex - Field 3
  • Adam Frizzell 34' goal
  • goal Lawrence Shankland 11'
  • goal Kenneth Vargas 18'
  • goal Calem Nieuwenhof 21'
  • goal Lawrence Shankland 73'

Airdrieonians vs Hearts - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Airdrieonians

All competitions

Hearts

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 54.23%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 22.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for an Airdrieonians win it was 1-0 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result

Airdrieonians 22.05% (-0.53)
Draw 23.72% (+0.02)
Hearts 54.23% (+0.52)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.43% (-0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.74% (-0.64)
Under 2.5 48.26% (+0.64)
Over 3.5 29.59% (-0.59)
Under 3.5 70.41% (+0.59)
Over 4.5 14.39% (-0.41)
Under 4.5 85.61% (+0.41)

Airdrieonians Goals

Over 0.5 63.7% (-0.86)
Under 0.5 36.3% (+0.86)
Over 1.5 26.92% (-0.88)
Under 1.5 73.08% (+0.88)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 82.3% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 17.69% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 51.66% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 48.34% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Airdrieonians 22.05%
Draw 23.72%
Hearts 54.23%
Airdrieonians
1-0 @ 6.51% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 5.71% (-0.13)
2-0 @ 3.3% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 1.93% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 1.67% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 1.11% (-0.05)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 22.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.27% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.42% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 4.95% (-0.12)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 23.72%
Hearts
0-1 @ 11.12% (+0.27)
1-2 @ 9.76% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 9.63% (+0.23)
1-3 @ 5.64% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 5.56% (+0.13)
2-3 @ 2.86% (-0.08)
1-4 @ 2.44% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.41% (+0.05)
2-4 @ 1.24% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 54.23%

Head to Head

Scottish Cup Gameweek 4
Jan 18, 2020 3.00pm
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Andrew Irving 7' goal
  • Sean Clare 54' goal
  • Steven Naismith 58' goal
  • Euan Henderson 71' goal
  • Craig Halkett 91' goal