Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 54.23%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 22.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for an Airdrieonians win it was 1-0 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.