Scottish Cup | Fifth Round

Feb 11, 2024 at 5pm UK

Garscube Sports Complex - Field 3

Airdrieonians
1 - 4
Hearts

Frizzell (34')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Shankland (11', 73'), Vargas (18'), Nieuwenhof (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Cup clash between Airdrieonians and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Airdrieonians

All competitions

Scottish Cup

Last Game: Raith Rovers 0-1 Airdrieonians
Friday, February 2 at 7.40pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Goals
for

Hearts

All competitions

Scottish Cup

Last Game: St Johnstone 0-1 Hearts
Wednesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 54.23%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 22.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for an Airdrieonians win it was 1-0 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
Airdrieonians	Draw	Hearts
22.05% ( -0.53)	23.72% ( 0.02)	54.23% ( 0.51)

Both teams to score 52.43% (

-0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.74% (

-0.64)

48.26% (

0.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.59% (

-0.59)

70.41% (

0.59)

Airdrieonians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.7% (

-0.85)

36.3% (

0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.92% (

-0.87)

73.08% (

0.87)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.3% (

-0.04)

17.69% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.66% (

-0.08)

48.34% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Airdrieonians 22.05%

Hearts 54.23%

Draw 23.72%

Airdrieonians	Draw	Hearts
1-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.71% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.81% Total : 22.05%	1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.72%	0-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 9.76% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.63% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 5.64% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.56% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.41% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.58% Total : 54.23%