Raith Rovers
Scottish Challenge Cup | Semi-Finals
Feb 2, 2024 at 7.40pm UK
Stark's Park
Airdrieonians

Raith Rovers
0 - 1
Airdrieonians


Rudden (2'), Easton (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Todorov (6')
Telfer (11'), McCabe (76'), McCabe (76')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Semi-Finals clash between Raith Rovers and Airdrieonians.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Raith Rovers 2-3 Inverness
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Airdrieonians 1-1 Partick
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 52.04%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 25.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Raith RoversDrawAirdrieonians
52.04% (4.109 4.11)22.89% (-0.678 -0.68)25.06% (-3.429 -3.43)
Both teams to score 58.79% (-0.771 -0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.46% (0.371 0.37)41.54% (-0.37 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.06% (0.374 0.37)63.94% (-0.371 -0.37)
Raith Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.97% (1.654 1.65)16.03% (-1.651 -1.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.62% (2.941 2.94)45.38% (-2.939 -2.94)
Airdrieonians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.01% (-2.341 -2.34)29.99% (2.344 2.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.9% (-2.915 -2.92)66.1% (2.919 2.92)
Score Analysis
    Raith Rovers 52.04%
    Airdrieonians 25.06%
    Draw 22.89%
Raith RoversDrawAirdrieonians
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.269 0.27)
1-0 @ 8.8% (0.331 0.33)
2-0 @ 8.06% (0.718 0.72)
3-1 @ 5.92% (0.472 0.47)
3-0 @ 4.92% (0.678 0.68)
3-2 @ 3.57% (0.062 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.71% (0.349 0.35)
4-0 @ 2.25% (0.414 0.41)
4-2 @ 1.63% (0.115 0.12)
5-1 @ 0.99% (0.174 0.17)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 52.04%
1-1 @ 10.59% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-2 @ 5.84% (-0.223 -0.22)
0-0 @ 4.81% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.89%
1-2 @ 6.38% (-0.617 -0.62)
0-1 @ 5.79% (-0.495 -0.5)
0-2 @ 3.49% (-0.553 -0.55)
1-3 @ 2.56% (-0.437 -0.44)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.253 -0.25)
0-3 @ 1.4% (-0.332 -0.33)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 25.06%

Head to Head
Jan 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 20
Airdrieonians
1-0
Raith Rovers
Todorov (24')
Todorov (38'), Telfer (57'), McStravick (68')

Mullin (40'), Easton (56'), Matthews (73'), O'Reilly (75'), Hamilton (88')
Millen (90+6')
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Raith Rovers
1-1
Airdrieonians
Smith (44')
Todorov (55')
Telfer (85')
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Airdrieonians
1-0
Raith Rovers
Gallagher (73')
Watson (67')

Millen (29'), Masson (40'), Gullan (80'), Murray (90+1')
Mar 28, 2020 3pm
Feb 1, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 23
Airdrieonians
0-1
Raith Rovers

Crighton (44'), Wedderburn (72')
Matthews (4')
Benedictus (46'), Hendry (74'), Armstrong (90')