Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 52.24%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 24.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 52.24% ( | 22.77% ( | 24.99% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.17% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.99% ( | 41.01% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.6% ( | 63.4% ( |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.23% ( | 15.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.1% ( | 44.9% ( |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.25% ( | 29.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.18% ( | 65.82% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 1-0 @ 8.67% ( 2-0 @ 8% ( 3-1 @ 5.97% ( 3-0 @ 4.93% ( 3-2 @ 3.62% ( 4-1 @ 2.76% ( 4-0 @ 2.28% ( 4-2 @ 1.67% ( 5-1 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 3.62% Total : 52.24% | 1-1 @ 10.5% ( 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0-0 @ 4.69% ( 3-3 @ 1.46% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.76% | 1-2 @ 6.37% ( 0-1 @ 5.69% ( 0-2 @ 3.45% ( 1-3 @ 2.57% ( 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0-3 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 3.15% Total : 24.99% |