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Raith Rovers
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 22
Jan 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stark's Park
Inverness CT

Raith Rovers
2 - 3
Inverness

Hamilton (25'), Vaughan (52')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Samuel (31', 36', 40')
Ridgers (87'), Shaw (90+4')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Raith Rovers and Inverness Caledonian Thistle.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 52.24%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 24.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Raith RoversDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
52.24% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)22.77% (0.033000000000001 0.03)24.99% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 59.17% (-0.129 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.99% (-0.166 -0.17)41.01% (0.162 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.6% (-0.169 -0.17)63.4% (0.164 0.16)
Raith Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.23% (-0.067000000000007 -0.07)15.77% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.1% (-0.121 -0.12)44.9% (0.118 0.12)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.25% (-0.09899999999999 -0.1)29.75% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.18% (-0.121 -0.12)65.82% (0.117 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Raith Rovers 52.24%
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 24.99%
    Draw 22.76%
Raith RoversDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 8.67% (0.044 0.04)
2-0 @ 8% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.93% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-2 @ 3.62% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.76% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.28% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.67% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.02% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 52.24%
1-1 @ 10.5% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.69% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.76%
1-2 @ 6.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 5.69% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.45% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.57% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 24.99%

Head to Head
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Inverness
1-2
Raith Rovers
Mckay (61')
Devine (34'), Gilmour (83')
Vaughan (86'), Gullan (90+4' pen.)
Corr (75'), Gullan (90+4')
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Raith Rovers
1-0
Inverness
Gullan (87')
Dick (62'), Watson (90'), Watson (90')

Gilmour (8'), Devine (84')
Apr 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 32
Inverness
2-0
Raith Rovers
Henderson (12'), Shaw (21')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Raith Rovers
2-2
Inverness
Vaughan (29'), Connolly (62')
Henderson (49'), Mckay (83')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Inverness
1-1
Raith Rovers
Deas (38')
Stanton (13')