Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 53.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 21.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 1-0 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hearts in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hearts.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | Hearts |
| 21.96% ( | 24.74% ( | 53.3% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.23% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.54% ( | 52.45% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.87% ( | 74.13% ( |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.26% ( | 38.74% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.52% ( | 75.48% ( |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.36% ( | 19.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.39% ( | 51.61% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 7.22% ( 2-1 @ 5.57% ( 2-0 @ 3.42% ( 3-1 @ 1.76% ( 3-2 @ 1.43% ( 3-0 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 1.48% Total : 21.96% | 1-1 @ 11.74% 0-0 @ 7.61% ( 2-2 @ 4.53% ( Other @ 0.86% Total : 24.74% | 0-1 @ 12.38% 0-2 @ 10.07% ( 1-2 @ 9.56% 0-3 @ 5.47% ( 1-3 @ 5.19% 2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0-4 @ 2.23% ( 1-4 @ 2.11% ( 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.83% Total : 53.28% |