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Celtic logo
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St Johnstone logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 25
Feb 7, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
McDiarmid Park
Hearts logo

St Johnstone
0 - 1
Hearts


Robinson (16'), Considine (52'), McGowan (75'), Jaiyesimi (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Shankland (54')
Vargas (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Johnstone and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dundee 2-3 Hearts
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: St Johnstone 1-2 Hearts

St Johnstone have enjoyed a productive unbeaten run in the Premiership of late, but the visit of Hearts on Wednesday night will be the toughest test of 2024 to date. The Jambos have scored at least twice in their last six matches, and we expect that trend to continue here as Naismith's side record another victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 53.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 21.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 1-0 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hearts in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hearts.

Result
St JohnstoneDrawHearts
21.96% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 24.74% (0.0030000000000001 0) 53.3% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Both teams to score 49.23% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.54% (0.0049999999999955 0)52.45% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)74.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.26% (0.017000000000003 0.02)38.74% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.52% (0.014999999999997 0.01)75.48% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.36% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)19.64% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.39% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)51.61% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    St Johnstone 21.96%
    Hearts 53.28%
    Draw 24.74%
St JohnstoneDrawHearts
1-0 @ 7.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-1 @ 5.57% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-0 @ 3.42% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 1.76% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 21.96%
1-1 @ 11.74%
0-0 @ 7.61% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 24.74%
0-1 @ 12.38%
0-2 @ 10.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.56%
0-3 @ 5.47% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 5.19%
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 2.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 53.28%

How you voted: St Johnstone vs Hearts

St Johnstone
10.3%
Draw
5.2%
Hearts
84.5%
58
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Hearts
1-0
St Johnstone
Shankland (61')
Cochrane (77'), Vargas (88')

Phillips (40'), Gallacher (58')
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
St Johnstone
0-2
Hearts

McClelland (17'), Phillips (29')
Oda (75'), Shankland (90+6')
Rowles (16'), Devlin (80'), Boyce (90+5')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 28
Hearts
3-0
St Johnstone
Ginnelly (21', 63'), Grant (73')
Dec 28, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
St Johnstone
2-3
Hearts
May (55' pen.), Murphy (79')
Shankland (14' pen.), Forrest (33'), McKay (64')
Aug 28, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Hearts
3-2
St Johnstone
Rowles (25'), Boyce (31'), Shankland (81' pen.)
Carey (6'), Considine (54')
Murphy (15'), Phillips (45'), Crawford (66'), Considine (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic110082275581
2RangersRangers110074245078
3Hearts101046341263
4Kilmarnock10104334952
5St Mirren10013945-643
6Dundee10014556-1141
Relegation Group
1Hibernian11004752-542
2Aberdeen11003649-1338
3Motherwell10014652-637
4St Johnstone10012549-2431
5Ross County10013258-2630
6Livingston11002459-3521
 
First Phase
1Celtic33246380265478
2RangersRangers33243672234975
3Hearts33195946341262
4Kilmarnock33131284334951
5St Mirren33127143843-543
6Dundee331011124454-1041
7Hibernian33912124451-739
8Motherwell33813124651-537
9Aberdeen33811143549-1435
10St Johnstone33710162446-2231
11Ross County3379173256-2430
12Livingston3339212259-3718


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