Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.