Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (10.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | Livingston |
| 34.89% ( | 27.75% ( | 37.36% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.51% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.66% ( | 57.34% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.83% ( | 78.17% ( |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.88% ( | 31.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.56% ( | 67.44% ( |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.43% ( | 29.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.4% ( | 65.6% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | Livingston |
| 1-0 @ 10.74% ( 2-1 @ 7.64% ( 2-0 @ 6.27% ( 3-1 @ 2.97% ( 3-0 @ 2.44% ( 3-2 @ 1.81% ( Other @ 3.01% Total : 34.89% | 1-1 @ 13.08% ( 0-0 @ 9.2% ( 2-2 @ 4.65% ( Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.74% | 0-1 @ 11.21% ( 1-2 @ 7.97% ( 0-2 @ 6.83% ( 1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0-3 @ 2.77% ( 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 1-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.46% Total : 37.36% |