Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 22

Feb 11, 2024 at 2pm UK

Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park

Dundee
2 - 1
St Johnstone

McCowan (75' pen.), McGhee (89')
McGhee (17'), Costelloe (48'), Bakayoko (69'), Mellon (83')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Smith (9')
Gordon (74'), Mitov (75'), Kucheriavyi (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Dundee and St Johnstone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundee

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: St Mirren 2-0 Dundee
Wednesday, February 7 at 8.15pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

St Johnstone

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: St Johnstone 0-1 Hearts
Wednesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Dundee in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Dundee.

Result
Dundee	Draw	St Johnstone
41.05% ( 0.04)	26.31% ( -0.01)	32.64% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 52.54% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.96% (

-0)

52.04% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.23% (

-0)

73.77% (

-0.01)

Dundee Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.98% (

0.02)

25.01% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.32% (

0.03)

59.68% (

-0.04)

St Johnstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.07% (

-0.03)

29.93% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.96% (

-0.04)

66.03% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Dundee 41.04%

St Johnstone 32.64%

Draw 26.31%

Dundee	Draw	St Johnstone
1-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 41.04%	1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 7.49% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.31%	0-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.04% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 32.64%