Celtic logo
Scottish Cup | Quarter-Finals
Mar 10, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Celtic Park
Livingston logo

Celtic
4 - 2
Livingston

Maeda (7', 22', 86'), Furuhashi (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-1)
MacKay (12'), Yengi (54')
MacKay (44'), Montano (52'), Nottingham (81'), Shinnie (83'), Sangare (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Cup clash between Celtic and Livingston, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hearts 2-0 Celtic
Sunday, March 3 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 87.4%. A draw had a probability of 8.8% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 3.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.45%) and 4-0 (9.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.17%), while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (1.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
CelticDrawLivingston
87.4% (0.081000000000003 0.08)8.81% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)3.79% (-0.0611 -0.06)
Both teams to score 42.7% (-0.553 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.42% (-0.312 -0.31)26.57% (0.311 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.05% (-0.397 -0.4)46.95% (0.398 0.4)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.05% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)3.95% (0.037 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
83.29% (-0.119 -0.12)16.71% (0.119 0.12)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.45% (-0.558 -0.56)55.54% (0.558 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.79% (-0.331 -0.33)88.2% (0.33099999999999 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Celtic 87.38%
    Livingston 3.79%
    Draw 8.81%
CelticDrawLivingston
3-0 @ 12.33% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 11.45% (0.16 0.16)
4-0 @ 9.97% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
3-1 @ 7.26% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-0 @ 7.09% (0.117 0.12)
2-1 @ 6.74% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
5-0 @ 6.44% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 5.86% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
5-1 @ 3.79% (-0.046 -0.05)
6-0 @ 3.47% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.05 -0.05)
6-1 @ 2.04% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.72% (-0.046 -0.05)
7-0 @ 1.6% (-0.002 -0)
5-2 @ 1.11% (-0.033 -0.03)
7-1 @ 0.94% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 87.38%
1-1 @ 4.17% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 2.19% (0.042 0.04)
2-2 @ 1.98% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 8.81%
0-1 @ 1.29% (0.004 0)
1-2 @ 1.23% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 3.79%

How you voted: Celtic vs Livingston

Celtic
100%
Draw
0.0%
Livingston
0.0%
18
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Celtic
2-0
Livingston
Furuhashi (46'), Scales (51')

Holt (67')
Sep 23, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 6
Livingston
0-3
Celtic

de Lucas (13'), Shinnie (66'), Bradley (70'), Lawal (74'), Parkes (80')
Hatate (14' pen.), O'Riley (48'), Maeda (90+5')
Johnston (22'), Scales (26')
Hart (28')
Feb 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Celtic
3-0
Livingston
Taylor (29'), Maeda (33'), Furuhashi (45+2')
Dec 21, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Celtic
2-1
Livingston
Obileye (23' og.), Furuhashi (45')
Devlin (45+2')
Oct 30, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 13
Livingston
0-3
Celtic
Furuhashi (9'), Taylor (53'), Jota (87')