Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 48.78%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 25.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | Hibernian |
| 25.98% ( | 25.25% ( | 48.78% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.98% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.05% ( | 50.95% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.18% ( | 72.82% ( |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.72% ( | 34.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.02% ( | 70.98% ( |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.1% ( | 20.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.38% ( | 53.62% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | Hibernian |
| 1-0 @ 7.67% ( 2-1 @ 6.43% ( 2-0 @ 4.11% ( 3-1 @ 2.29% ( 3-2 @ 1.8% ( 3-0 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 2.21% Total : 25.98% | 1-1 @ 12% ( 0-0 @ 7.17% ( 2-2 @ 5.03% ( 3-3 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 11.21% ( 1-2 @ 9.4% ( 0-2 @ 8.78% ( 1-3 @ 4.9% ( 0-3 @ 4.58% ( 2-3 @ 2.63% ( 1-4 @ 1.92% ( 0-4 @ 1.79% ( 2-4 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.54% Total : 48.77% |