Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 33

Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK

McDiarmid Park

St Johnstone
0 - 2
Kilmarnock

FT(HT: 0-2)

Wright (23', 23'), Watkins (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Johnstone and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Johnstone

All competitions

Last Game: Hibernian 1-2 St Johnstone
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-0 Ross County
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (8.36%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
St Johnstone	Draw	Kilmarnock
28.64% ( 0.03)	27% ( 0.01)	44.35% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 48.68% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.83% (

-0.02)

56.16% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.77% (

-0.02)

77.22% (

0.01)

St Johnstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.07% (

0.01)

34.93% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.33% (

0.01)

71.67% (

-0.01)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.81% (

-0.03)

25.18% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.09% (

-0.04)

59.91% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

St Johnstone 28.64%

Kilmarnock 44.34%

Draw 26.99%

St Johnstone	Draw	Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.71% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.35% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.71% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.13% Total : 28.64%	1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0) Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.99%	0-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.8% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 44.34%