Scottish Premiership Gameweek 31
Mar 30, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Kenneth Vargas 10' goal
  • Frankie Kent 27' yellowcard
  • Alex Cochrane 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Danny Armstrong 28'
  • yellowcard Robbie Deas 63'
  • goal Marley Watkins 67'

Hearts vs Kilmarnock - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Mar 16, 2024 3.00pm
Ross County 2 - 1 Hearts
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Lawrence Shankland

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Mar 16, 2024 3.00pm
Kilmarnock 5 - 2 St Mirren
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Marley Watkins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 49.14%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.

Result

Hearts 49.14% (+0.23)
Draw 23.62% (-0.05)
Kilmarnock 27.25% (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.42% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.02% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 42.98% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 34.62% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 65.38% (-0.09)
Over 4.5 17.98% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 82.02% (-0.07)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 82.37% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 17.63% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 51.77% (+0.21)
Under 1.5 48.23% (-0.21)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 70.92% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 29.08% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 35% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 65% (+0.11)

Score analysis

Hearts 49.14%
Draw 23.62%
Kilmarnock 27.25%
Hearts
2-1 @ 9.54% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.9%
2-0 @ 7.72% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.52% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 4.47% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.41% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.39% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.94% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.48% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 49.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.99% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.89% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.13% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.4% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.62%
Kilmarnock
1-2 @ 6.79% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 6.33% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.91% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.79% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.43% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.61% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 27.25%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 15
Dec 2, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Rugby Park
  • Will Dennis 40' yellowcard
  • Will Dennis 41' yellowcard
  • David Watson 68' yellowcard
  • goal Will Dennis 18' (OG)
  • goal Will Dennis 18' (OG)
  • yellowcard Calem Nieuwenhof 79'
Scottish League Cup
Sep 26, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Rugby Park
  • Bradley Lyons 68' goal
  • goal Jorge Grant 40'
  • yellowcard Jorge Grant 50'
  • yellowcard Peter Haring 60'
  • yellowcard Calem Nieuwenhof 88'
  • goal Alex Lowry 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Toby Sibbick 90'+6'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 2
Aug 13, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Lawrence Shankland 30' yellowcard
  • Cameron Devlin 40' yellowcard
  • Nathaniel Atkinson 55' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Danny Armstrong 67'
  • yellowcard Bradley Lyons 85'
  • yellowcard Rory McKenzie 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Liam Donnelly 90'+5'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 30
Apr 1, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Danny Armstrong 22' goal
  • Christian Doidge 45' goal
  • goal Lawrence Shankland 7'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 17
Dec 17, 2022 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Josh Ginnelly 19' goal
  • Lawrence Shankland 29' goal
  • Lawrence Shankland 89' goal
  • goal Ash Taylor 73'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 10
Oct 9, 2022 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Chris Stokes 47' goal
  • Kyle Lafferty 59' goal
  • goal Stephen Humphrys 62'
  • goal Nathaniel Atkinson 90'+4'