Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 31

Mar 30, 2024 at 3pm UK

Tynecastle Park

Hearts
1 - 1
Kilmarnock

Vargas (10')
Kent (27'), Cochrane (65')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Watkins (67')
Armstrong (28'), Deas (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Ross County 2-1 Hearts
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Kilmarnock 5-2 St Mirren
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 49.14%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.

Result
Hearts	Draw	Kilmarnock
49.14% ( 0.22)	23.62% ( -0.05)	27.25% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 58.42% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.02% (

0.09)

42.98% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.62% (

0.09)

65.38% (

-0.08)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.37% (

0.12)

17.63% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.77% (

0.21)

48.23% (

-0.21)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.92% (

-0.08)

29.08% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35% (

-0.1)

65% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Hearts 49.14%

Kilmarnock 27.25%

Draw 23.62%

Hearts	Draw	Kilmarnock
2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.9% 2-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.78% Total : 49.14%	1-1 @ 10.99% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.62%	1-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.39% Total : 27.25%