Scottish Cup
Mar 11, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Cappielow Park
  • Jack Baird 24' yellowcard
  • Kirk Broadfoot 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cameron Devlin 43'
  • yellowcard Jorge Grant 59'
  • yellowcard Lawrence Shankland 64'
  • goal Kenneth Vargas 86'

Greenock Morton vs Hearts - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Greenock Morton

All competitions

Hearts

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hearts in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hearts.

Result

Greenock Morton 34% (-0.35)
Draw 25.79% (+0.04)
Hearts 40.2% (+0.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.6% (-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.44% (-0.21)
Under 2.5 49.56% (+0.21)
Over 3.5 28.41% (-0.19)
Under 3.5 71.58% (+0.19)
Over 4.5 13.59% (-0.13)
Under 4.5 86.41% (+0.13)

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 0.5 72.16% (-0.31)
Under 0.5 27.84% (+0.31)
Over 1.5 36.56% (-0.40)
Under 1.5 63.44% (+0.40)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 75.66% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 24.33% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 41.27% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 58.72% (-0.11)

Score analysis

Greenock Morton 34%
Draw 25.79%
Hearts 40.2%
Greenock Morton
1-0 @ 8.66% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.83% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 5.54% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 3.34% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 2.36% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.07% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 34%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.24% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.77% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.79%
Hearts
0-1 @ 9.57% (+0.10)
1-2 @ 8.65% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 6.77% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 4.08% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.19% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.61% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.44% (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.13% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 40.2%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 25
Apr 20, 2021 7.05pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard John Souttar 79'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 17
Feb 20, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Andy Halliday 5' yellowcard
  • Jamie Walker 71' goal
  • yellowcard Sean McGinty 21'
  • goal Craig McGuffie 53'
  • yellowcard Luca Colville 56'
  • yellowcard Cameron Salkeld 65'
  • yellowcard Cameron Blues 67'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 6
Dec 5, 2020 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Jamie Walker 37'
  • goal Jamie Walker 49'