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Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 32
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Ross County

Kilmarnock
1 - 0
Ross County

Vassell (64')
Donnelly (28'), Vassell (86'), Leak (87'), Mayo (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ayina (38'), King (68'), Dhanda (86'), Polworth (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Ross County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 1-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, March 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Ross County

All competitions
Last Game: Aberdeen 2-1 Ross County
Saturday, March 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 66.6%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Ross County had a probability of 14.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 1-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Ross County win it was 1-2 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawRoss County
66.6% (-1.338 -1.34)19.01% (0.547 0.55)14.39% (0.788 0.79)
Both teams to score 53.3% (0.231 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.19% (-0.769 -0.77)39.81% (0.768 0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.83% (-0.805 -0.81)62.16% (0.80099999999999 0.8)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.91% (-0.562 -0.56)11.09% (0.561 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.53% (-1.244 -1.24)35.47% (1.241 1.24)
Ross County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.94% (0.635 0.63)40.06% (-0.636 -0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.3% (0.577 0.58)76.7% (-0.578 -0.58)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 66.6%
    Ross County 14.39%
    Draw 19.01%
KilmarnockDrawRoss County
2-0 @ 10.74% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.067 0.07)
1-0 @ 9.77% (0.123 0.12)
3-0 @ 7.88% (-0.27 -0.27)
3-1 @ 7.21% (-0.119 -0.12)
4-0 @ 4.33% (-0.254 -0.25)
4-1 @ 3.96% (-0.159 -0.16)
3-2 @ 3.3% (0.0029999999999997 0)
5-0 @ 1.91% (-0.159 -0.16)
4-2 @ 1.81% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.74% (-0.113 -0.11)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 66.6%
1-1 @ 8.94% (0.264 0.26)
2-2 @ 4.5% (0.107 0.11)
0-0 @ 4.44% (0.157 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 19.01%
1-2 @ 4.09% (0.189 0.19)
0-1 @ 4.06% (0.211 0.21)
0-2 @ 1.86% (0.127 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.37% (0.056 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.25% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 14.39%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Ross County

Kilmarnock
66.7%
Draw
8.3%
Ross County
25.0%
12
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Ross County
0-0
Kilmarnock
Allardice (28')
> Preview
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Kilmarnock
0-1
Ross County
Murray (53')
Randall (33'), Murray (45+3'), Dhanda (66'), Reid (85'), Brown (87')
> Preview
May 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 38
Kilmarnock
3-1
Ross County
Lyons (36'), Armstrong (49' pen.), Vassell (78')
Taylor (62'), Vassell (69'), Lyons (75'), McKenzie (90+5')
Dhanda (63' pen.)
Baldwin (26')
> Preview
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Ross County
3-0
Kilmarnock
Brophy (13'), White (48'), Dhanda (63')
> Preview
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Kilmarnock
1-0
Ross County
Armstrong (20')
> Preview