Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 66.6%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Ross County had a probability of 14.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 1-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Ross County win it was 1-2 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.