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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 31
Mar 30, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
Ross County

Aberdeen
2 - 1
Ross County

Miovski (5'), McGrath (78')
Hoilett (45'), Gartenmann (61')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Murray (26')
Reid (9'), White (53'), Wickens (73'), Sheaf (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Aberdeen and Ross County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ross County 2-1 Hearts
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 61.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Ross County had a probability of 17.84%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.96%) and 1-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Ross County win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aberdeen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Aberdeen.

Result
AberdeenDrawRoss County
61.25% (0.16399999999999 0.16)20.9% (-0.052 -0.05)17.84% (-0.113 -0.11)
Both teams to score 54.76% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.21% (0.046999999999997 0.05)41.78% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.81% (0.048000000000002 0.05)64.18% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.84% (0.063999999999993 0.06)13.16% (-0.065 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.15% (0.129 0.13)39.85% (-0.131 -0.13)
Ross County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.06% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)36.93% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.28% (-0.098000000000003 -0.1)73.72% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Aberdeen 61.25%
    Ross County 17.84%
    Draw 20.9%
AberdeenDrawRoss County
2-0 @ 10% (0.026 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.96% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9.86% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 6.76% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.73% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.43% (0.025 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.41% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.39% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.38% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 61.25%
1-1 @ 9.82% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.86% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.9%
1-2 @ 4.89% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.84% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.41% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.62% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 17.84%

How you voted: Aberdeen vs Ross County

Aberdeen
76.5%
Draw
23.5%
Ross County
0.0%
17
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 22
Ross County
0-3
Aberdeen

Baldwin (39'), Leak (45'), Purrington (65'), Henderson (84'), Dhanda (87')
Baldwin (90+1')
McGrath (24', 30'), Miovski (80')
Polvara (47'), Barron (59'), Devlin (90+2')
Sep 27, 2023 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Ross County
1-2
Aberdeen
Turner (83' pen.)
Murray (17'), Harmon (64'), Turner (71')
Baldwin (14')
Shinnie (8'), Sokler (80')
Barron (59'), Rubezic (84'), Sokler (88')
Sep 24, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Aberdeen
4-0
Ross County
Miovski (21', 52'), Lopes (42'), McGrath (47')

Brown (16'), Dhanda (38'), Leak (60'), Nightingale (68')
Apr 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Ross County
0-1
Aberdeen
Lopes (17')
Jan 2, 2023 3pm