Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 19

Mar 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park

Dundee
1 - 0
Aberdeen

McCowan (66' pen.)
McCowan (90+6'), Main (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

McGrath (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Dundee and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundee

All competitions

Last Game: Dundee 2-2 Kilmarnock
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Aberdeen

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Aberdeen 3-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, March 9 at 12.15pm in Scottish Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 47.02%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.

Result
Dundee	Draw	Aberdeen
47.02% ( -0.1)	23.82% ( 0.03)	29.16% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 59.18% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.38% (

-0.08)

42.62% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.98% (

-0.08)

65.02% (

0.09)

Dundee Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.68% (

-0.07)

18.32% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.59% (

-0.12)

49.4% (

0.13)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.45% (

0.01)

27.54% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.94% (

0.01)

63.06% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Dundee 47.02%

Aberdeen 29.16%

Draw 23.82%

Dundee	Draw	Aberdeen
2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.54% Total : 47.02%	1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.82%	1-2 @ 7.12% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 29.16%