Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 35

May 4, 2024 at 3pm UK

Fir Park

Motherwell
4 - 1
Livingston

Bair (21' pen., 21' pen., 68'), Nicholson (45+2', 45+2'), Casey (74')
Miller (70'), Zdravkovski (85')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Nouble (77')

Reaction

Livingston manager David Martindale reacts on March 10, 2024

Livingston relegated from Scottish Premiership

Livingston are relegated from the Scottish Premiership following a 4-1 loss to Motherwell, with Ross County beating Hibernian to help send the Lions down.

May 4, 15:57

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Livingston, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions

Last Game: Aberdeen 1-0 Motherwell
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Livingston

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Livingston 2-0 Ross County
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 54.14%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 22.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.

Result
Motherwell	Draw	Livingston
54.14% ( 0.43)	23.04% ( 0.09)	22.82% ( -0.54)

Both teams to score 55.65% (

-1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.53% (

-1)

44.47% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.16% (

-0.98)

66.84% (

0.97)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.65% (

-0.21)

16.35% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.04% (

-0.38)

45.96% (

0.37)

Livingston Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.53% (

-1.03)

33.47% (

1.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.9% (

-1.13)

70.1% (

1.13)

Score Analysis

Motherwell 54.14%

Livingston 22.82%

Draw 23.03%

Motherwell	Draw	Livingston
1-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.27% Total : 54.14%	1-1 @ 10.84% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.03%	0-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.3% Total : 22.82%