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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 33
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Livingston logo

Hearts
4 - 2
Livingston

Grant (29'), Oda (32'), Devlin (40'), Shankland (45+6' pen.)
Cochrane (45+1')
FT(HT: 4-2)
Kelly (10', 22')
Yengi (31')
Yengi (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Livingston, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 65.78%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 15.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Livingston win it was 1-2 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawLivingston
65.78% (-0.012 -0.01)18.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)15.28% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.95% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.53% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)37.47% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.3% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)59.7% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.36% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)10.64% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.53% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)34.47% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)37.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.83% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)74.17% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 65.78%
    Livingston 15.28%
    Draw 18.94%
HeartsDrawLivingston
2-0 @ 9.98% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 8.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 7.46% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 7.34% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 4.18% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 4.11% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 3.61% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 2.02% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.87% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.84% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 65.78%
1-1 @ 8.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.83%
0-0 @ 3.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 18.94%
1-2 @ 4.31% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 3.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 1.92% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.59%
1-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 15.28%

How you voted: Hearts vs Livingston

Hearts
80.0%
Draw
15.0%
Livingston
5.0%
20
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 22
Livingston
1-2
Hearts
Shinnie (79' pen.)
Parkes (45+4')
Vargas (53'), Shankland (64')
Nieuwenhof (42'), Shankland (45+4'), Kent (60')
Nov 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Hearts
1-0
Livingston
Vargas (79')
Baningime (40'), Devlin (44')

Holt (63'), Holt (64+64'), Shinnie (77'), Anderson (90')
Jan 29, 2023 1.30pm
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Hearts
1-1
Livingston
Ginnelly (90+7')
Kelly (55')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Livingston
1-0
Hearts
Montano (28')
Omeonga (23'), Holt (34'), Pittman (68'), Nouble (90+3')

Devlin (52'), Shankland (65')