Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 36.26% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Montrose |
| 38.74% ( | 25.01% ( | 36.26% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.69% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.28% ( | 45.72% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.96% ( | 68.04% ( |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.62% ( | 23.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.65% ( | 57.35% ( |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.3% ( | 24.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.76% ( | 59.24% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Montrose |
| 2-1 @ 8.53% 1-0 @ 8.39% ( 2-0 @ 6.1% ( 3-1 @ 4.13% ( 3-0 @ 2.96% ( 3-2 @ 2.89% 4-1 @ 1.5% 4-0 @ 1.07% ( 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.12% Total : 38.74% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 2-2 @ 5.96% ( 0-0 @ 5.77% ( 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 25% | 1-2 @ 8.21% ( 0-1 @ 8.07% ( 0-2 @ 5.65% ( 1-3 @ 3.83% ( 2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0-3 @ 2.63% ( 1-4 @ 1.34% ( 2-4 @ 0.97% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.87% Total : 36.26% |