Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 37.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.55%) and 2-0 (4.85%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 39.75% ( | 22.45% ( | 37.8% ( |
| Both teams to score 67.55% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.01% ( | 32.99% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.29% ( | 54.72% ( |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.61% ( | 17.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.19% ( | 47.81% ( |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.77% ( | 18.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.74% ( | 49.26% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 2-1 @ 8.26% 1-0 @ 5.55% ( 2-0 @ 4.85% ( 3-1 @ 4.81% 3-2 @ 4.1% 3-0 @ 2.83% 4-1 @ 2.11% 4-2 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.24% 4-3 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 3.21% Total : 39.75% | 1-1 @ 9.44% 2-2 @ 7.03% 0-0 @ 3.17% 3-3 @ 2.33% ( Other @ 0.49% Total : 22.45% | 1-2 @ 8.03% 0-1 @ 5.4% 0-2 @ 4.59% 1-3 @ 4.56% ( 2-3 @ 3.99% ( 0-3 @ 2.61% ( 1-4 @ 1.94% ( 2-4 @ 1.7% 0-4 @ 1.11% 3-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.9% Total : 37.8% |