Mar 23, 2024 3.00pm

3

2

HT : 3 1

FT Galabank

Aidan Smith 26'
Lewis Hunter 35'
Benjamin Lussint 38'
90'+3'

Michael Tidser 40'
Craig Johnston 48'
Reece Lyon 50'
Lewis Moore 87'
Thomas O'Ware 90'

Annan Athletic vs Kelty Hearts - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Annan Athletic

All competitions

D
W
D
L
W
L

Scottish League One

D
W
D
L
W
L

Last game

Mar 16, 2024 3.00pm

Montrose 1 - 1 Annan

Goals scored

55

Top scorer

Aidan Smith

Kelty Hearts

All competitions

W
L
L
L
L
L

Scottish League One

W
L
L
L
L
L

Last game

Mar 19, 2024 7.45pm

Kelty Hearts 2 - 1 Alloa

Goals scored

48

Top scorer

Alfie Bavidge

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 51.22%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 26.84% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.03%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Annan Athletic would win this match.

Result

Annan Athletic 51.22% ▲ (+0.09)

Draw 21.95% ▼ (-0.03)

Kelty Hearts 26.84% ▼ (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score:

64.04% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 64.59% ▲ (+0.07)

Under 2.5 35.41% ▼ (-0.07)

Over 3.5 42.56% ▲ (+0.08)

Under 3.5 57.44% ▼ (-0.07)

Over 4.5 24.23% ▲ (+0.06)

Under 4.5 75.77% ▼ (-0.06)

Annan Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 85.88% ▲ (+0.06)

Under 0.5 14.12% ▼ (-0.05)

Over 1.5 58.24% ▲ (+0.10)

Under 1.5 41.77% ▼ (-0.10)

Kelty Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 74.57% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 0.5 25.43% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 1.5 39.75% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 1.5 60.25% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Annan Athletic 51.22%

Draw 21.95%

Kelty Hearts 26.84%

Annan Athletic

2-1 @ 9.42% ▲ (+0.01)

1-0 @ 7.03% ▼ (-0.01)

2-0 @ 6.88% ▲ (+0.01)

3-1 @ 6.15% ▲ (+0.02)

3-0 @ 4.49% ▲ (+0.01)

3-2 @ 4.21% ▲ (+0.01)

4-1 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.02)

4-0 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.01)

4-2 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.01)

5-1 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 4.6%

Total : 51.22%

Draw

1-1 @ 9.63% ▼ (-0.02)

2-2 @ 6.45%

0-0 @ 3.59% ▼ (-0.02)

3-3 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 0.36%

Total : 21.95%

Kelty Hearts

1-2 @ 6.59% ▼ (-0.02)

0-1 @ 4.92% ▼ (-0.02)

0-2 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.02)

1-3 @ 3.01% ▼ (-0.01)

2-3 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.01)

0-3 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.01)

1-4 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.01)

2-4 @ 1.01%

Other @ 2.44%

Total : 26.84%

Head to Head

Jan 13, 2024 3.00pm

1

1

HT : 1 0

FT New Central Park

Alfie Bavidge 28'

Tommy Muir 25'
Kai Nugent 56'
Aidan Smith 64'
Thomas Goss 73'
Steven Swinglehurst 87'

Nov 4, 2023 3.00pm

2

2

HT : 1 1

FT Galabank

Michael Garrity 15'
Matty Douglas 35'
Aidan Smith 40'
Aidan Smith 67'
Josh Galloway 70'

Reece Lyon 41'
Alfie Bavidge 72'
Stefan McCluskey 80'
Lewis Moore 88'

Sep 2, 2023 3.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT New Central Park

Lewis O'Donnell 40'
Craig Johnston 62'

Dominic Docherty 29'
Benjamin Lussint 31'
Aidan Smith 78'

Sep 23, 2022 7.45pm

1

2

HT : 0 0

FT Galabank

Thomas Goss 63'

Nicky Low 58'
Jamie Barjonas 90'+3'

Apr 30, 2022 3.00pm

1

2

HT : 1 2

FT

Thomas Reilly 22'
Charlie Barnes 36'

Kallum Higginbotham 30'
Alfie Agyeman 45'+1'
Scott Cameron 79'

Feb 26, 2022 3.00pm

3

1

HT : 2 0

FT

Owen Moxon 5'
Jamie Barjonas 16'
Ross Philp 58'
Joe Cardle 72'
Nathan Austin 90'+2'

Owen Moxon 37'
Matty Douglas 52'
Robert McCartney 78'
Jordan Lowdon 84'
Steven Swinglehurst 90'

Form Data

Montrose 1 - 1 Annan

Annan 2 - 1 QotS

Falkirk 1 - 1 Annan

Cove Rangers 2 - 1 Annan

Annan 2 - 1 Stirling

Alloa 2 - 1 Annan

Kelty Hearts 2 - 1 Alloa

Kelty Hearts 0 - 1 Cove Rangers

Alloa 3 - 0 Kelty Hearts

Kelty Hearts 0 - 5 Hamilton

Kelty Hearts 0 - 1 Falkirk

Montrose 4 - 2 Kelty Hearts