Alloa Athletic
Cove Rangers
East Fife
Hamilton logo
Inverness CT
Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Peterhead
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir
Annan Athletic
Scottish League One | Gameweek 30
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Galabank
Kelty Hearts

Annan
3 - 2
Kelty Hearts

Smith (26'), Hunter (35'), Lussint (38')
(90+3')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Tidser (40'), Johnston (48')
Lyon (50'), Moore (87')
O'Ware (90')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Annan Athletic and Kelty Hearts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Annan Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Montrose 1-1 Annan
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Kelty Hearts

All competitions
Last Game: Kelty Hearts 2-1 Alloa
Tuesday, March 19 at 7.45pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 51.22%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 26.84% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.03%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Annan Athletic would win this match.

Result
Annan AthleticDrawKelty Hearts
51.22% (0.081000000000003 0.08)21.95% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)26.84% (-0.055 -0.05)
Both teams to score 64.04% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.59% (0.066000000000003 0.07)35.41% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.56% (0.070999999999998 0.07)57.44% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Annan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.88% (0.052000000000007 0.05)14.12% (-0.046999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.24% (0.097000000000001 0.1)41.77% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Kelty Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.57% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)25.43% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.75% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)60.25% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Annan Athletic 51.22%
    Kelty Hearts 26.84%
    Draw 21.95%
Annan AthleticDrawKelty Hearts
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.03% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.88% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 6.15% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.21% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.01% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.2% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.06% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.18% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-3 @ 0.94% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 51.22%
1-1 @ 9.63% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.45%
0-0 @ 3.59% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 21.95%
1-2 @ 6.59% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.92% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.37% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.01% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 26.84%

How you voted: Annan vs Kelty Hearts

Annan Athletic
50.0%
Draw
16.7%
Kelty Hearts
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 21
Kelty Hearts
1-1
Annan
Bavidge (28' pen.)
Goss (73')
Muir (25'), Nugent (56'), Smith (64'), Swinglehurst (87')
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Annan
2-2
Kelty Hearts
Garrity (15'), Smith (67')
Douglas (35'), Smith (40'), Galloway (70')
Lyon (41'), Moore (88' pen.)
Bavidge (72'), McCluskey (80')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Kelty Hearts
1-1
Annan
Johnston (62')
O'Donnell (40')
Smith (78')
Docherty (29'), Lussint (31')
Sep 23, 2022 7.45pm
Third Round
Annan
1-2
Kelty Hearts
Goss (63' pen.)
Low (58' pen.), Barjonas (90+3')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 36
Annan
1-2
Kelty Hearts
Reilly (22' og.)
Barnes (36')
Higginbotham (30'), Agyeman (45+1')
Cameron (79')