Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 49.58%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 27.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.93%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 49.58% ( | 22.88% ( | 27.54% |
| Both teams to score 61.28% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.69% ( | 39.31% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.36% ( | 61.64% |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.91% ( | 16.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.51% ( | 45.48% ( |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.03% ( | 26.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.69% ( | 62.3% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 2-1 @ 9.49% 1-0 @ 7.93% 2-0 @ 7.24% 3-1 @ 5.78% ( 3-0 @ 4.41% ( 3-2 @ 3.79% 4-1 @ 2.64% 4-0 @ 2.01% 4-2 @ 1.73% 5-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.6% Total : 49.58% | 1-1 @ 10.38% 2-2 @ 6.22% 0-0 @ 4.34% 3-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.87% | 1-2 @ 6.81% 0-1 @ 5.69% 0-2 @ 3.73% 1-3 @ 2.97% 2-3 @ 2.72% 0-3 @ 1.63% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.03% Total : 27.54% |