Scottish League One | Gameweek 15

Feb 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

New Central Park

Kelty Hearts
3 - 2
Edinburgh

McGlynn (26', 55'), Cunningham (82')
Owens (77'), Johnston (78')

FT(HT: 1-1)

McDonald (18'), Marshall (90+2')
Faye (23'), McDonald (35'), Flatman (87'), McNamara (90')

Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Kelty Hearts and Edinburgh City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kelty Hearts

All competitions

Scottish League One

Last Game: Kelty Hearts 0-0 QotS
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Edinburgh City

All competitions

Last Game: Montrose 3-0 Edinburgh
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 69.87%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 12.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 1-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 1-2 (3.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.

Result
Kelty Hearts	Draw	Edinburgh City
69.87% ( 4.24)	17.66% ( -1.58)	12.46% ( -2.67)

Both teams to score 52.51% (

-1.95)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.94% (

1.18)

38.06% (

-1.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.67% (

1.24)

60.32% (

-1.25)

Kelty Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.21% (

1.39)

9.79% (

-1.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.47% (

3.13)

32.53% (

-3.14)

Edinburgh City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.21% (

-3.1)

41.79% (

3.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.75% (

-2.82)

78.25% (

2.82)

Score Analysis

Kelty Hearts 69.87%

Edinburgh City 12.46%

Draw 17.66%

Kelty Hearts	Draw	Edinburgh City
2-0 @ 11.04% ( 0.66) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.22) 1-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.97) 3-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.27) 4-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.82) 4-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.39) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.16) 5-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.49) 5-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.29) 4-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.87% Total : 69.87%	1-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.71) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.48) 0-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.23) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.13% Total : 17.66%	1-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.65) 0-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.54) 0-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.39) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.3) Other @ 1.44% Total : 12.46%