Scottish League One | Gameweek 21

Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK

New Central Park

Kelty Hearts
1 - 1
Annan

Bavidge (28' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Goss (73')
Muir (25'), Nugent (56'), Smith (64'), Swinglehurst (87')

Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Kelty Hearts and Annan Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kelty Hearts

All competitions

Last Game: Cove Rangers 2-2 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Annan Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Annan 2-2 Montrose
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 39.54%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Kelty Hearts	Draw	Annan Athletic
39.54% ( 0.29)	24.94% ( -0.07)	35.51% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 57.82% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.48% (

0.31)

45.52% (

-0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.15% (

0.29)

67.85% (

-0.29)

Kelty Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.12% (

0.28)

22.88% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.38% (

0.41)

56.62% (

-0.41)

Annan Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.97% (

0.02)

25.03% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.3% (

0.03)

59.69% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Kelty Hearts 39.54%

Annan Athletic 35.51%

Draw 24.94%

Kelty Hearts	Draw	Annan Athletic
2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.22% Total : 39.54%	1-1 @ 11.69% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.94%	1-2 @ 8.1% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 35.51%