Alloa Athletic
Cove Rangers
East Fife
Hamilton logo
Inverness CT
Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Peterhead
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir
Stirling Albion
Scottish League One | Gameweek 22
Jan 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Forthbank Stadium
Kelty Hearts

Stirling
5 - 0
Kelty Hearts

McGregor (44'), Carrick (53'), Cooper (72', 80', 90+1')
Cummins (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Thomson (52'), Biabi (89')
O'Donnell (90+3')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Stirling Albion and Kelty Hearts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stirling Albion

All competitions
Last Game: Montrose 0-1 Stirling
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Kelty Hearts

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last Game: Ayr 3-0 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Scottish Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stirling Albion win with a probability of 49.85%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 26.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stirling Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stirling Albion would win this match.

Result
Stirling AlbionDrawKelty Hearts
49.85% (0.025999999999996 0.03)23.16% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)26.99% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 59.79% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.93% (0.018000000000001 0.02)41.07% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.54% (0.016999999999996 0.02)63.46% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Stirling Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.35% (0.015000000000001 0.02)16.64% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.51% (0.028999999999996 0.03)46.49% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Kelty Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.72% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)28.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)63.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Stirling Albion 49.85%
    Kelty Hearts 26.99%
    Draw 23.15%
Stirling AlbionDrawKelty Hearts
2-1 @ 9.56% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 8.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.57% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 5.71% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 4.52% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 3.61% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.56% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.62% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 49.85%
1-1 @ 10.65% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.04% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.71% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.15%
1-2 @ 6.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 5.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.76% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.84% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.54%
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 26.99%

Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 11
Kelty Hearts
1-0
Stirling
Moore (89')
McCluskey (52')

Hilson (86')
Cooper (52')
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Stirling
1-0
Kelty Hearts
Cooper (88')
Cooper (90')

Walker (65')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Kelty Hearts
1-1
Stirling
Biabi (8')
Biabi (50'), Forster (65'), Ngwenya (72')
Moore (2')
Cummins (49')
Jan 8, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 20
Stirling
0-3
Kelty Hearts

Grant (63'), McGeachie (72')
Austin (4'), Cardle (58', 78')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 11
Kelty Hearts
1-1
Stirling
Cardle (62')
Black (65'), Higginbotham (68')
Scally (65')
McGregor (26'), Cummins (32'), McNiff (61')