Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stirling Albion win with a probability of 49.85%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 26.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stirling Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stirling Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
Stirling Albion | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
49.85% ( 0.03) | 23.16% ( -0.01) | 26.99% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 59.79% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.93% ( 0.02) | 41.07% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.54% ( 0.02) | 63.46% ( -0.02) |
Stirling Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.35% ( 0.02) | 16.64% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.51% ( 0.03) | 46.49% ( -0.03) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.72% ( -0.01) | 28.27% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.01% ( -0.01) | 63.99% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Stirling Albion | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.44% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.57% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.71% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.52% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.56% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.03% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 3.32% Total : 49.85% | 1-1 @ 10.65% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.71% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.15% | 1-2 @ 6.73% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.76% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.54% 0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0) Other @ 3.6% Total : 26.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 35 | 27 | 8 | 0 | 94 | 26 | 68 | 89 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 69 | 27 | 42 | 71 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 35 | 16 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 53 | 5 | 55 |
4 | Montrose | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 55 | 55 | 0 | 50 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 46 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 47 | 59 | -12 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 41 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 38 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 38 | 57 | -19 | 38 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 35 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 37 | 95 | -58 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |