Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 66.61%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 14.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 1-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 1-2 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montrose would win this match.
Result | ||
Montrose | Draw | Edinburgh City |
66.61% ( 0.99) | 18.55% ( -0.49) | 14.83% ( -0.5) |
Both teams to score 56.23% ( 0.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.42% ( 1.28) | 36.58% ( -1.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.27% ( 1.39) | 58.73% ( -1.39) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.82% ( 0.61) | 10.18% ( -0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.57% ( 1.37) | 33.43% ( -1.37) |
Edinburgh City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.6% ( 0.17) | 37.4% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.82% ( 0.17) | 74.18% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Montrose | Draw | Edinburgh City |
2-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.33) 3-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.1) 5-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.13) 5-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.13) 5-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.99% Total : 66.61% | 1-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 18.55% | 1-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.09% Total : 14.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 35 | 27 | 8 | 0 | 94 | 26 | 68 | 89 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 69 | 27 | 42 | 71 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 35 | 16 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 53 | 5 | 55 |
4 | Montrose | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 55 | 55 | 0 | 50 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 46 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 47 | 59 | -12 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 41 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 38 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 38 | 57 | -19 | 38 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 35 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 37 | 95 | -58 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |