Scottish League One | Gameweek 27

Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK

Links Park

Montrose
4 - 3
Alloa

Lyons (7'), Dillon (45+1'), Hester (51'), Webster (86')
Gardyne (64')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Steven (32'), Sutherland (45'), Wales (67')
Taggart (68'), Devine (85')
Cawley (59')

Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Montrose and Alloa Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montrose

All competitions

Last Game: QotS 2-3 Montrose
Saturday, February 24 at 5.30pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Alloa Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Hamilton 1-2 Alloa
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 51.79%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 25.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montrose would win this match.

Result
Montrose	Draw	Alloa Athletic
51.79% ( -0.28)	22.56% ( 0.07)	25.64% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 60.58% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.55% (

-0.15)

39.44% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.21% (

-0.16)

61.78% (

0.15)

Montrose Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.63% (

-0.15)

15.37% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.85% (

-0.28)

44.14% (

0.27)

Alloa Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.58% (

0.07)

28.42% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.83% (

0.09)

64.17% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Montrose 51.79%

Alloa Athletic 25.64%

Draw 22.56%

Montrose	Draw	Alloa Athletic
2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.85% Total : 51.79%	1-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.56%	1-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.49% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.51% Total : 25.64%