Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 47.55%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 2-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cove Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Cove Rangers |
| 28.48% ( | 23.98% ( | 47.55% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.14% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.22% ( | 43.78% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.83% ( | 66.17% ( |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.39% ( | 28.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.59% ( | 64.41% ( |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.44% ( | 18.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.18% ( | 49.82% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Cove Rangers |
| 2-1 @ 7% ( 1-0 @ 6.65% ( 2-0 @ 4.16% ( 3-1 @ 2.92% ( 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 3-0 @ 1.74% ( 4-1 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.64% Total : 28.48% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0-0 @ 5.31% ( 3-3 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.98% | 1-2 @ 9.42% ( 0-1 @ 8.94% ( 0-2 @ 7.53% ( 1-3 @ 5.29% ( 0-3 @ 4.23% ( 2-3 @ 3.31% ( 1-4 @ 2.23% ( 0-4 @ 1.78% ( 2-4 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 3.42% Total : 47.55% |