Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 52.13%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 24.9% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Montrose |
| 52.13% ( | 22.97% ( | 24.9% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.36% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.98% ( | 42.02% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.57% ( | 64.42% ( |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.82% ( | 16.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.36% ( | 45.64% ( |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.62% ( | 30.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.43% ( | 66.56% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Montrose |
| 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 1-0 @ 8.95% ( 2-0 @ 8.15% ( 3-1 @ 5.9% 3-0 @ 4.95% ( 3-2 @ 3.52% ( 4-1 @ 2.69% 4-0 @ 2.25% ( 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 5-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.43% Total : 52.13% | 1-1 @ 10.66% 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0-0 @ 4.91% ( 3-3 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.96% | 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0-1 @ 5.85% ( 0-2 @ 3.49% ( 1-3 @ 2.52% ( 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0-3 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 2.99% Total : 24.9% |