Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 73.47%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 10.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.65%) and 0-3 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.67%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 1-0 (3.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Falkirk |
| 10.28% ( | 16.24% ( | 73.47% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.01% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.56% ( | 37.43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.34% ( | 59.65% ( |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.83% ( | 45.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.93% ( | 81.07% ( |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.21% ( | 8.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.84% ( | 30.15% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Falkirk |
| 1-0 @ 3.15% 2-1 @ 3.05% ( 2-0 @ 1.25% ( 3-2 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 1.84% Total : 10.28% | 1-1 @ 7.67% ( 0-0 @ 3.97% ( 2-2 @ 3.71% ( Other @ 0.9% Total : 16.24% | 0-2 @ 11.73% 0-1 @ 9.65% ( 0-3 @ 9.51% ( 1-2 @ 9.33% ( 1-3 @ 7.56% 0-4 @ 5.79% ( 1-4 @ 4.6% 2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0-5 @ 2.81% ( 1-5 @ 2.24% ( 2-4 @ 1.83% ( 0-6 @ 1.14% ( 1-6 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 3.37% Total : 73.47% |