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Kelty Hearts
Scottish League One | Gameweek 31
Mar 30, 2024 at 3pm UK
New Central Park
Edinburgh City

Kelty Hearts
3 - 1
Edinburgh

Bavidge (29', 51' pen.), Johnston (69')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McDonald (8')
Wilson (63')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Kelty Hearts and Edinburgh City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kelty Hearts

All competitions
Last Game: Annan 3-2 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Edinburgh City

All competitions
Last Game: Falkirk 4-1 Edinburgh
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 68.78%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 13.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 1-0 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 1-2 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.

Result
Kelty HeartsDrawEdinburgh City
68.78% (0.0010000000000048 0)17.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)13.6% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Both teams to score 56.32% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.14% (0.022000000000006 0.02)34.86% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.16% (0.021000000000001 0.02)56.84% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Kelty Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)9.2% (-0.0050999999999988 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.85% (0.013000000000005 0.01)31.15% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Edinburgh City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.03% (0.020000000000003 0.02)37.97% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.26% (0.017000000000003 0.02)74.74% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Kelty Hearts 68.78%
    Edinburgh City 13.6%
    Draw 17.61%
Kelty HeartsDrawEdinburgh City
2-0 @ 9.94% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.63%
1-0 @ 8.34% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.91% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 7.66% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 4.72%
4-1 @ 4.57% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.71% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-0 @ 2.25%
4-2 @ 2.21% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-1 @ 2.18% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-2 @ 1.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 4.62%
Total : 68.78%
1-1 @ 8.07% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 3.49% (-0.004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 17.61%
1-2 @ 3.91% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 3.38% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 1.64%
2-3 @ 1.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.26% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 13.6%

Head to Head
Feb 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Kelty Hearts
3-2
Edinburgh
McGlynn (26', 55'), Cunningham (82')
Owens (77'), Johnston (78')
McDonald (18'), Marshall (90+2')
Faye (23'), McDonald (35'), Flatman (87'), McNamara (90')
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 23
Edinburgh
0-3
Kelty Hearts

Deane (90+3')
Bavidge (14', 67', 68')
Thomson (38'), Lyon (90+3')
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Edinburgh
1-4
Kelty Hearts
Wilkie (88')
Handling (30')
Daramola (25'), Corbett (32'), Bavidge (68'), Cunningham (76')
O'Donnell (53')
Jul 19, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Edinburgh
3-5
Kelty Hearts
Mercer (4'), McLean (7', 20')
Mercer (33'), Murray (59')
Johnston (27', 49'), Daramola (42', 45+3'), Cunningham (54')
McCluskey (50'), Tidser (51'), Daramola (82')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Edinburgh
2-2
Kelty Hearts
Murray (46'), Shanley (59')
Darge (24'), Higginbotham (76')