Alloa Athletic
Cove Rangers
East Fife
Hamilton logo
Inverness CT
Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Peterhead
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir
Edinburgh City
Scottish League One | Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ainslie Park Stadium
Alloa Athletic

Edinburgh
2 - 5
Alloa

Zaid (17'), Deane (38')
Deane (44'), Parker (80')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Donnelly (5'), Taggart (51' pen., 70'), Steven (77'), Waller (90' og.)
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Edinburgh City and Alloa Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hamilton 1-0 Edinburgh
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Alloa 3-0 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 64.12%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 17.46%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.96%) and 1-3 (7.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.89%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 2-1 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.

Result
Edinburgh CityDrawAlloa Athletic
17.46% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)18.42%64.12% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Both teams to score 63.23% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.51% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)30.49% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.22% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)51.78% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Edinburgh City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.55% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)30.45% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.34% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)66.65% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.91% (-0.012 -0.01)9.08% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.12% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)30.87% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Edinburgh City 17.46%
    Alloa Athletic 64.12%
    Draw 18.42%
Edinburgh CityDrawAlloa Athletic
2-1 @ 4.69% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 3.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 1.96% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 1.86% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 17.46%
1-1 @ 7.89% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.63% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.77% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.78% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 18.42%
1-2 @ 9.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.96% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 7.57% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 6.63% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-3 @ 6.36% (0.015 0.01)
1-4 @ 4.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 4.5% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-4 @ 3.82% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.7% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-5 @ 2.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-5 @ 1.83% (0.002 0)
2-5 @ 1.29% (-0.004 -0)
3-4 @ 1.07% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 64.12%

Head to Head
Jan 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 20
Alloa
3-1
Edinburgh
Wales (37'), Cawley (89'), Roy (90')
Steven (90+2')
See (49')
Sambou (51'), Deane (61')
Nov 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Edinburgh
3-0
Alloa
Mahon (11', 24'), Offord (89')
Hamilton (34'), Spence (50'), Murray (82'), Jacobs (90+1')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Alloa
1-1
Edinburgh
Roy (69')
Devine (34'), Deveney (90+2')
Leitch (61')
Spence (90'), Shanley (90+2')
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 28
Edinburgh
0-2
Alloa
Donnelly (32'), Coulson (81')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Alloa
2-1
Edinburgh
Sammon (17', 27')
Robertson (53')