Alloa Athletic
Cove Rangers
East Fife
Hamilton logo
Inverness CT
Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Peterhead
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir
Alloa Athletic
Scottish League One | Gameweek 30
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Indodrill Stadium
Queen of the South

Alloa
0 - 2
QotS

FT(HT: 0-2)
Mumbongo (11', 11'), McGuffie (82')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Alloa Athletic and Queen of the South.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alloa Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Kelty Hearts 2-1 Alloa
Tuesday, March 19 at 7.45pm in Scottish League One

Queen of the South

All competitions
Last Game: QotS 1-4 Falkirk
Saturday, March 16 at 5.30pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Alloa AthleticDrawQueen of the South
40.75% (-0.058 -0.06)25.36% (0.088000000000001 0.09)33.88% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 56.04% (-0.309 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.32% (-0.398 -0.4)47.68% (0.39700000000001 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.12% (-0.369 -0.37)69.88% (0.369 0.37)
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.78% (-0.20399999999999 -0.2)23.22% (0.203 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.87% (-0.3 -0.3)57.13% (0.299 0.3)
Queen of the South Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.99% (-0.209 -0.21)27% (0.209 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.64% (-0.276 -0.28)62.36% (0.274 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Alloa Athletic 40.75%
    Queen of the South 33.88%
    Draw 25.35%
Alloa AthleticDrawQueen of the South
1-0 @ 9.16% (0.096 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.75% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.68% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.26% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.19% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 40.75%
1-1 @ 11.98% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.27% (0.103 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.73% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.35%
0-1 @ 8.21% (0.087000000000002 0.09)
1-2 @ 7.85% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.37% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.42% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.35% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 33.88%

Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 21
QotS
1-1
Alloa
Connelly (43')
Todd (47'), Ferguson (86')
Wales (25')
Cawley (31'), Hetherington (90')
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Alloa
1-0
QotS
Roy (64')
Neill (90+4')

Ferguson (41'), Church (83'), McClelland (90+4')
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
QotS
3-4
Alloa
McKechnie (2'), Reilly (37' pen., 84' pen.)
McKechnie (45+3'), Mimnaugh (48'), Ambrose (67')
McKay (6'), Rodden (15', 44'), Sammon (29')
Virtanen (36'), Devine (76')
Apr 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 32
Alloa
1-2
QotS
Taggart (65')
Paton (14', 35')
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
QotS
1-2
Alloa
Paton (28')
Sammon (62'), Maciver (86')
rhs 2.0


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