Alloa Athletic
Cove Rangers
East Fife
Hamilton logo
Inverness CT
Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Peterhead
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir
Montrose
Scottish League One | Gameweek 31
Mar 30, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Links Park
Falkirk

Montrose
1 - 7
Falkirk

Hester (31')
Graham (35'), Dillon (41')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Maciver (4', 49'), Nesbitt (21', 47'), Ross (33'), Agyeman (66'), Shanley (76')
Tait (38')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Montrose and Falkirk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montrose

All competitions
Last Game: Stirling 1-0 Montrose
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Falkirk

All competitions
Last Game: Falkirk 4-1 Edinburgh
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 68.49%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Montrose had a probability of 13.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a Montrose win it was 2-1 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.

Result
MontroseDrawFalkirk
13.27% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)18.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)68.49% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.89% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.21% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)38.78% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.91% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)61.09% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Montrose Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.98% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)41.02% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.42% (-0.02 -0.02)77.58% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Falkirk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.68% (0.0019999999999953 0)10.32% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.24% (0.0010000000000048 0)33.76% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Montrose 13.27%
    Falkirk 68.48%
    Draw 18.24%
MontroseDrawFalkirk
2-1 @ 3.82% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-0 @ 3.77%
2-0 @ 1.68% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.29% (-0.002 -0)
3-1 @ 1.13% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 13.27%
1-1 @ 8.57% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 18.24%
0-2 @ 10.91%
1-2 @ 9.73% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 9.61% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-3 @ 8.27% (0.0040000000000013 0)
1-3 @ 7.37%
0-4 @ 4.69% (0.0029999999999992 0)
1-4 @ 4.18%
2-3 @ 3.28% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-5 @ 2.13% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-5 @ 1.9% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.86% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 4.55%
Total : 68.48%

Head to Head
Feb 20, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Falkirk
3-0
Montrose
Machado (5' og.), Nesbitt (20'), Oliver (90+3')
Henderson (56'), Yeats (75')

Craig (7')
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Montrose
0-0
Falkirk
Webster (71'), Hester (80')
Miller (63'), Morrison (63'), Spencer (67'), Yeats (90')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Falkirk
3-2
Montrose
Oliver (62'), Morrison (71' pen., 90+3')
Nesbitt (36'), Long (84')
Lyons (47'), Webster (85' pen.)
Steeves (59'), Dillon (70'), Lyons (76')
Apr 11, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Montrose
1-2
Falkirk
Milne (82')
Kennedy (18', 24')
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Falkirk
2-1
Montrose
Nesbitt (32', 47')
Waddell (90+5')