Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 47.78%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 28.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Montrose |
| 47.78% ( | 23.54% | 28.68% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.8% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.34% ( | 41.65% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.94% | 64.05% ( |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.35% ( | 17.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.74% ( | 48.25% ( |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.61% ( | 27.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.14% ( | 62.85% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Montrose |
| 2-1 @ 9.42% 1-0 @ 8.38% ( 2-0 @ 7.27% ( 3-1 @ 5.45% ( 3-0 @ 4.2% ( 3-2 @ 3.53% 4-1 @ 2.36% ( 4-0 @ 1.82% ( 4-2 @ 1.53% Other @ 3.82% Total : 47.78% | 1-1 @ 10.85% 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0-0 @ 4.83% ( 3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.54% | 1-2 @ 7.03% ( 0-1 @ 6.26% 0-2 @ 4.05% ( 1-3 @ 3.04% ( 2-3 @ 2.63% 0-3 @ 1.75% ( 1-4 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.93% Total : 28.68% |