Scottish League One | Gameweek 36

May 4, 2024 at 3pm UK

The Hope CBD Stadium

Hamilton
4 - 1
Kelty Hearts

Morgan (7'), Hastie (25', 81'), Smith (78')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Johnston (42')

Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Hamilton Academical and Kelty Hearts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hamilton Academical

All competitions

Last Game: Alloa 0-1 Hamilton
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Kelty Hearts

All competitions

Last Game: Kelty Hearts 0-2 Montrose
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 61.39%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 18.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.42%) and 1-0 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 1-2 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.

Result
Hamilton Academical	Draw	Kelty Hearts
61.39% ( 0.25)	19.73% ( 0.01)	18.88% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 61.07% (

-0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.51% (

-0.49)

34.49% (

0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.58% (

-0.55)

56.42% (

0.55)

Hamilton Academical Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.1% (

-0.08)

10.89% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.96% (

-0.18)

35.04% (

0.18)

Kelty Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.53% (

-0.55)

31.47% (

0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.15% (

-0.65)

67.85% (

0.64)

Score Analysis

Hamilton Academical 61.39%

Kelty Hearts 18.88%

Draw 19.73%

Hamilton Academical	Draw	Kelty Hearts
2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 7.2% 3-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.97% Total : 61.39%	1-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.29% Total : 19.73%	1-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.42% Total : 18.88%