Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 54.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 22.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 2-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.