Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 36.82% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.11%) and 0-1 (4.88%). The likeliest Cove Rangers win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 36.82% ( | 21.72% ( | 41.45% ( |
| Both teams to score 70.36% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.67% ( | 29.32% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.62% ( | 50.37% ( |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.96% ( | 17.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.8% ( | 47.19% ( |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.81% ( | 15.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.19% ( | 43.81% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 7.64% ( 1-0 @ 4.58% ( 3-1 @ 4.5% ( 3-2 @ 4.25% ( 2-0 @ 4.05% ( 3-0 @ 2.39% ( 4-1 @ 1.99% ( 4-2 @ 1.88% ( 4-3 @ 1.18% ( 4-0 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 3.31% Total : 36.82% | 1-1 @ 8.63% ( 2-2 @ 7.2% ( 3-3 @ 2.67% ( 0-0 @ 2.59% ( Other @ 0.64% Total : 21.72% | 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 1-3 @ 5.11% ( 0-1 @ 4.88% ( 0-2 @ 4.6% ( 2-3 @ 4.52% ( 0-3 @ 2.89% ( 1-4 @ 2.41% ( 2-4 @ 2.13% ( 0-4 @ 1.36% ( 3-4 @ 1.26% ( 1-5 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 3.26% Total : 41.45% |