Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 36.82% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.11%) and 0-1 (4.88%). The likeliest Cove Rangers win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.