Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.