Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 67.59%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Elgin City had a probability of 14.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.6%) and 0-1 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%), while for a Elgin City win it was 2-1 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.

Result
Elgin City	Draw	Hibernian
14.46% ( 0.04)	17.95% ( 0.02)	67.59% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 57.51% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.53% (

0.01)

34.47% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.6% (

0.02)

56.39% (

-0.02)

Elgin City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.46% (

0.06)

36.54% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.67% (

0.06)

73.32% (

-0.07)

Hibernian Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.63% (

-0.01)

9.37% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.44% (

-0.02)

31.56% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Elgin City 14.46%

Hibernian 67.59%

Draw 17.95%

Elgin City	Draw	Hibernian
2-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 3.45% ( 0) 2-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.16% Total : 14.46%	1-1 @ 8.16% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.42% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 17.95%	1-2 @ 9.66% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.6% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 7.63% ( -0) 0-3 @ 7.57% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 4.51% ( -0) 0-4 @ 4.48% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.84% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.27% ( 0) 1-5 @ 2.14% ( -0) 0-5 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 2-5 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 4.59% Total : 67.59%