Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 44%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.