Stranraer
Scottish League Two | Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stair Park
Elgin City

Stranraer
1 - 2
Elgin

Gallagher (79' og.)
Fleming (26'), Forrest (45+1'), Armour (49'), Grant (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ewan (53'), Jeffreys (64')
Dangana (38'), Draper (78')
Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between Stranraer and Elgin City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stranraer

All competitions
Last Game: Peterhead 2-0 Stranraer
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Elgin City

All competitions
Last Game: Elgin 1-0 Bonnyrigg Rose
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stranraer win with a probability of 57.72%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Elgin City had a probability of 19.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Elgin City win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
StranraerDrawElgin City
57.72% (0.182 0.18)22.45% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04)19.82% (-0.145 -0.15)
Both teams to score 53.17% (-0.122 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.35% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)45.64% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.03% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)67.97% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Stranraer Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.46% (0.045999999999992 0.05)15.54% (-0.043999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.53% (0.085000000000001 0.09)44.47% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)
Elgin City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.96% (-0.177 -0.18)37.04% (0.177 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.17% (-0.174 -0.17)73.83% (0.175 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Stranraer 57.72%
    Elgin City 19.82%
    Draw 22.45%
StranraerDrawElgin City
1-0 @ 10.71% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.98% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 6.19% (0.04 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.15% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.88% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.86% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.07% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.07% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 57.72%
1-1 @ 10.64% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.92% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.45%
0-1 @ 5.72% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.29% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.84% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.94% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 19.82%

Head to Head
Jan 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 19
Elgin
2-1
Stranraer
Dingwall (56' pen.), Harvey (89' pen.)
Draper (44')
Lang (24')
Robertson (53'), Girvan (57')
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 11
Stranraer
3-1
Elgin
Forrest (4' pen.), Grant (27'), Dolan (47')
Forrest (56'), Walker (85')
Jones (76')
Dolzanski (66'), Jones (90+1')
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Elgin
0-1
Stranraer
Dolan (23')
Walker (90+4')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Stranraer
3-1
Elgin
Forrest (24'), Grant (59'), Walker (70')
Reid (55')
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Elgin
0-1
Stranraer
Robertson (22')