Scottish League Two | Gameweek 24
Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ainslie Park Stadium
Elgin City

Spartans
1 - 2
Elgin

Henderson (69')
Dishington (36'), Waugh (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gallagher (63'), Taylor (90+4')
Dolzanski (48')
Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between Spartans and Elgin City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spartans

All competitions
Scottish League Two
Last Game: Forfar 1-0 Spartans
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Elgin City

All competitions
Last Game: Bonnyrigg Rose 2-0 Elgin
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 66.35%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Elgin City had a probability of 14.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Elgin City win it was 1-2 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
SpartansDrawElgin City
66.35% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)19.06% (0.0040000000000013 0)14.59% (0.026 0.03)
Both teams to score 53.71% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.47% (0.030000000000001 0.03)39.53% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.12% (0.032000000000004 0.03)61.88% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Spartans Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.92% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)11.07% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.56% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)35.44% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Elgin City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.4% (0.052999999999997 0.05)39.59% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.72% (0.052 0.05)76.28% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Spartans 66.34%
    Elgin City 14.59%
    Draw 19.06%
SpartansDrawElgin City
2-0 @ 10.61% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.65% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.79% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.22% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 4.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.97%
3-2 @ 3.34% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.89% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.84% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.75%
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 66.34%
1-1 @ 8.94%
2-2 @ 4.56% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.38% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 19.06%
1-2 @ 4.14% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.06%
0-2 @ 1.88% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.28% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 14.59%

Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Elgin
0-4
Spartans

Draper (24')
Henderson (3', 44', 67'), Russell (6')
Armstrong (52'), Whyte (54'), Russell (75'), Watson (84')
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 3
Spartans
2-1
Elgin
Craigen (61'), Armstrong (63')
Dingwall (77')